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Markets Are Crashing, Gold Is Up 18%: What Now?

February 15 2016

Market correction? Check. Gold price up? Check. Are banks in trouble? Check. Has confidence in central banks declined? Check. All of this is no surprise for our regular readers. After all, they were prepared. A year ago I started warning for an 'unmistakable (financial) hurricane.' Our readers knew stock markets were highly overvalued (and still are). They knew that precious metals were undervalued (and still are). They also knew that banking shares were to be avoided, and that the central

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Olav Dirkmaat

Forget about Inflation, Economic Growth or Employment…the Fed Is Mostly Concerned with Stocks

February 10 2016

In 2015, the Fed decided to delay an interest rate hike several times; it was going to be the first hike in nearly ten years. The hike was initially planned to take place in June, but was then delayed. After that, September became the designated month. However, it took until December before the Fed finally used its main policy instrument. 

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Edin Mujagić

Trump Would Get Away with Murder, Draghi Gets Away with Economic Nonsense

February 2 2016

Some of you might be wondering why the ECB is going to such great lengths to meet its price stability objective (2 percent inflation). Aren’t we better off when inflation is low? That is, when goods are becoming cheaper? That was one of the questions raised by ECB President Mario Draghi during

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Edin Mujagić

Some Gold Investors Need a Healthy Dose of Realism

January 25 2016

Perhaps you’ve heard of John Hathaway; he is a senior portfolio manager of the Tocqueville Gold Fund. Earlier this week he wrote in Barron’s that "an acute shortage of gold can boost prices." But, as mentioned in our previous articles, his analysis is wrong. As the supply and demand dynamics of gold are unlike those of other commodities such as rice or wheat, there cannot be an acute shortage. After all, gold isn’t consumed, so there is never an actual physical shortage. But that’s not the error I want to discuss today.... »

Olav Dirkmaat

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