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During many seminars, I point investors to the fact that real interest rates are the main driver behind the gold price. A real interest rate is the interest rate corrected for inflation. It shouldn’t come as a surprise that gold performs well when interest rates lag behind the rate of inflation. What will happen to the gold price now?

While the Long-Term Picture is Clear, the Short-Term Developments Are Complicated

THE REAL INTEREST RATES ARE POSITIVE (3 YR U.S. TREASURIES MINUS THE CPI). (CLICK TO ENLARGE THE GRAPH)

Positive Real Interest Rates

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